GovBrain’s Brent M. Eastwood Predicted Trump General Election Win on May 10

GovBrain’s Brent M. Eastwood Predicted Trump Would Win the General Election on May 10

Brent M. Eastwood
Nov 12, 2016 · 2 min read

Aren’t you tired of people like Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight trying to defend his record even though he was wrong on everything about Donald Trump.

GovBrain’s Brent M. Eastwood not only predicted that Trump would win the Republican primary in August of 2015, he predicted on May 10, 2016, that Trump would win the general election.

Here was the story from top political blogger Joe Monahan in a blog post he called “Trump’s Victory Path,” in May. Monahan pointed out Eastwood’s correct call for Trump’s victory in the primary and then he let Eastwood do his thing:

“Republican Brent Eastwood in DC did make a very early call here for Trump to emerge as the GOP nominee. He is sticking with Trump to take the general election, but if he was forced to put some money on the line, he might balk:

‘I will stay with Trump, but he has a difficult and narrow path to victory with little room for error. The electoral map favors Democrats. Trump’s current disapprovals are in the low 60’s. A unifying and presidential-sounding speech at the GOP convention is essential for Trump to get those numbers down. He needs a perfect October with clear debate wins and he needs Hillary to have a negative October surprise. And then during the last 72 hours, he needs a lot of independents and conservative Democrats to hold their nose, shrug their shoulders and switch to him. . . A substantial number of people could secretly go for Trump even though they tell pollsters, friends and family otherwise. Like I said, he has to get all the late breaks.’”

Disclaimer: GovBrain predicts world events using artificial intelligence, machine learning, and natural language processing. The firm itself is non-partisan and does not advocate or promote any candidate, political party, or ideology.

Brent M. Eastwood

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Professorial Lecturer at The George Washington University Elliott School of International Affairs