Dan ConnellyCOVID-19: inhomogeneous populations (polarized behavior)Any population is going to contain a mix of behaviors: some people will isolate in place and have all necessities delivered, others head…Apr 26, 2020Apr 26, 2020
Dan ConnellyCOVID-19 model and poorly behaved neighborsor the red state/blue state problemApr 13, 2020Apr 13, 2020
Dan ConnellyCOVID-19 modeling: multiple populations: model description and Wuhan calibrationthe effect of poorly-behaved neighborsApr 10, 2020Apr 10, 2020
Dan ConnellyIMHE data and Gautier curvesA popular, strictly phenomenological projection of the course of the COVID-19 epidemic in the United States is from IMHE. This doesn’t use…Apr 1, 2020Apr 1, 2020
Dan ConnellySEIRD model of COVID-19A relatively simple model for epidemic growth is the SEIR model. This model uses first order time-independent linear equations to model…Mar 15, 2020Mar 15, 2020
Dan ConnellyDr. Fauci and the time to peak COVID-19 in the U.S.At today’s press conference, Dr. Anthony Fauci, the CDC’s top medical advisor to President Trump, said it would be 8 to 9 weeks before the…Mar 13, 2020Mar 13, 2020
Dan ConnellyCOVID-19 and exponential growthI’m not a physician. I’m not an epidemiologist. I’m not a virologist. I’m not even a biologist. But I do understand exponentials, and it…Mar 9, 2020Mar 9, 2020
Dan ConnellySequential Ranked-Choice Voter Scheme for Primariesproblems with our present primary system: voters as punditsFeb 20, 20203Feb 20, 20203
Dan ConnellyFour key GOP distortions in impeachment trialThe democrats are only impeaching Trump because of policy differences, proven by the fact some democrats have been calling for Trump’s…Feb 3, 2020Feb 3, 2020
Dan ConnellyThirteen Rants on GOP Article 2 DefenseAfter the first four real days of the Trump impeachment trial, I though the House (all Democrats) had done an excellent job. It was a two…Jan 31, 2020Jan 31, 2020
