Jacob Smith – Medium

Jacob Smith

Jacob Smith

Correlation, Not Causation: How to Properly Understand FiveThirtyEight’s “Trump Score”

Since the start of the Trump administration, FiveThirtyEight has provided a resource called the “Trump Score,” which according to them is…

Sep 23, 2019

Sep 23, 2019

Jacob Smith

The Star Lord Theory of Opposing Trump

In the 2018 movie Avengers- Infinity War, the Avengers must try to stop Thanos from getting all of six Infinity Stones that will give him…

Sep 22, 2019

The Star Lord Theory of Opposing Trump

Sep 22, 2019

Jacob Smith

Montana: The Last, Worst Place for the President’s Party

Like many predominantly rural states, Montana swung heavily towards President Trump in the 2016 presidential election. In 2012, Barack…

Sep 22, 2019

Montana: The Last, Worst Place for the President’s Party

Sep 22, 2019

Jacob Smith

Gonzales’ Million: How Partisan Identification Trumps Candidate Quality in Modern American Politics

In the 1985 screwball comedy Brewster’s Millions, Monty Brewster (played by Richard Pryor) is left a large inheritance by his uncle, but…

Nov 19, 2018

Nov 19, 2018

Jacob Smith

Jacob Smith’s 2018 Election Predictions

Overall:

Nov 4, 2018

Nov 4, 2018

Jacob Smith

The Ohio General Assembly Elections: How Bernadine Kennedy Kent could become Ohio Republicans’…

Recently, the Columbus Dispatch published an excellent preview of the upcoming state legislative elections in Ohio. Rather than reiterate…

Oct 28, 2018

Oct 28, 2018

Jacob Smith

It’s Just Math(eson): Why Democrats Can Hatch a Majority in the Beehive State

At first glance, Democrats’ path to a Senate majority in 2018 seems daunting at best. Democrats currently hold 25 of the 33 states with…

Feb 8, 2017

Feb 8, 2017

Jacob Smith

No, Betsy DeVos did not buy Senators’ Votes

A number of recent articles have discussed the (large) amount of money Betsy DeVos and her family have given to Republican senators to…

Feb 8, 2017

Feb 8, 2017

Jacob Smith

Jacob Smith

@DukeU Thompson Writing Program Lecturing Fellow. Political scientist. Congress-watcher. Elections junkie. Union member. Kenyon/UNC alum. Views my own, rt ≠ e.

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