Forecasting Military strategies using game theory Russia VS. Ukraine [Part 2]

Rudy Z
3 min readMar 25, 2022

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Read part 1 — TLDR;

Hypothesis ,facts and early red flags which are casually ignored until witnessing the outcomes.

Hypothesis #1, Putin is not Insane, we are (!) to believe that he would act alone and starting a war in Europe without pre knowledge and consent of the ‘forces of interest’.

Vladimir Putin guest of honer at the Olympic winter games in chine 2022

Supporting evidence:

Lest start by pointing out that the close relation between Putin and president Xi Jinping. Putin has been invited to China twice in the past six months by the Chines president Xi Jinping. At his second visit Putin has been invited as the guest of honer at opening ceremony of the Olympic winter games in China 2022.

The start date of the military operation between Russia and Ukraine set to 4 days after the winter Olympic games are over and all the Participants, teams, visitors and tourists are safely back to their home countries, making sure to minimize to zero any correlation or damage to Russia or involving the Olympic event and its host. (The Belarusian and Russian pre Olympic teams were banned in the event which starts once the official Olympic games are over).

Once acknowledging the coordination of the start date of the Russian invasion to Ukraine with China, there is no escape from asking — ‘Only with china? , we can wonder — with whom else?’.

Every detail in this invasion has been planned, calculated, discussed and pre agreed with All the major world leaders and allies including but not limited to China, The US, The countries which are members of the EU defense council, Belarus and Moldova.

The buildup, which drew the attention of military analysts starting in at October 2021, grew for months, prompting Western countries to raise alarms over a potential Russian invasion of Ukraine. (Washington post 30-Oct-2021).

Simply by looking at the accumulation and placements of the Russian troops around Ukraine from October 2021 until February 16th 2022 (final Russian army positioning shown in the image above) should make a loud ‘drums of war’ sound signaling that Belarus, Moldova and Probably additional allies and Nuclear countries are in on the upcoming invasion decision.

Adding to this the actual invasion routes used results in a clear confirmation of the pre involvement of Belarus:

united nation voting results in the matter of condemning the aggressive actions on European soil against Ukraine by Russia in March 2nd 2022, we can get a clearer picture whom else was in the circle of knowledge:

united nations vote ukraine

Continue to [Part 3]

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