How the Electoral Map would look if only ______ voted.

Do you know this image? I made it. Here’s why.

A few days ago I was discussing another map with friends, comparing how white people and people of color tend to vote.

One of my friends wondered what the maps would look like if it were split between white men and and white women. So, using the same methodology as above, I went to 538’s “How to Swing the Election.”

From 538’s How to Swing the Election

I moved some toggles, plugged my results into 270towin, posted, and felt pleased with what I considered an obvious visual point in the context of the conversation:

White men aren’t the only ones to blame for the rise of Trumpism.

Here’s that image, modified in a way that everyone in that conversation has agreed to:

If only white women voted (we would still have work to do)

The next day I played with the 538 toggles a bit more, did a quick search to see if there was anything else I could include (POC split by college education? LGBTQ vs Hetero/Cis people?), put the images together and posted the resulting graphs to my own Facebook page. Full disclosure: Though I’ve followed the polls pretty closely (and even conducted an Independent survey of 1200+ third party voters earlier this season), I didn’t double check the data. I trust 538’s methodology to be reasonably close. If you don’t then this graph isn’t for you.

One of my big regrets is that I didn’t include sources directly on the image. By the time it went public I did write some accompanying text with attribution, but I didn’t put it on the image because I didn’t think more than a dozen people with whom I regularly discuss politics would be interested. I apologize, that was careless.

Here’s that original map, unaltered except that I’ve added sources to it:

How the Electoral Map would look if only _______ voted.

And then it went viral and my new day job was fielding comments about racism, sexism, and this election. As a white person I’ve been privileged to not have that job so explicitly before. I was still adjusting to that reality when I noticed it was posted by some as “shocking proof” that the election is rigged and… that’s when I decided I needed to respond and say a few things:

  1. Hi, I made the map. It was me, Ste Kinney-Fields. It wasn’t Nate Silver, though the 538 team did put the data out there to make it possible. Thanks, 538 team!

Thanks for reading. Thanks for sharing.

Now, please get out and vote against white supremacy in this election…and then continue the work after November 8.