How ugly is Eth? Drunken hookup at a bar, ugly.

Cryptocurrency Market Analysis 9/22

Ergonap
Coinmonks
Published in
3 min readSep 23, 2022

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I’ve been kinda vacation ish as I have a shift in priorities, so I write when I can. Big news coming.

I wrote this elsewhere, so I’ll post it here to help some folks. As a general statement: we are maximum bearish, and nothing has changed. But, let’s start with some charts. First, here’s BTC trend.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/mKVx0CKV/

Guess what’s changed? Nothing. Even a breakout wouldn’t be bullish here and I don’t expect it any time soon. So, number go down. Here’s 4h deciding factors, which are unchanged. We could pull a fake weekend pump (just to break the trend) and then die again.

no changes post FOMC. https://www.tradingview.com/x/SYghiCWq/

But now, let’s get into ETH. Firstly, ETH.D — Eth dominance. Eth dominance has effectively nosedived, and is now trending downwards first — bigtime trend breaks.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/EuDGIUbZ/

Then, we have a prior H&S but wait! I’m not done yet, not for the #bearish perspective.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/LA687ZpU/

We also have a double top bigger than an adult film actress. Yep. Perky, but….two bearish bigtime signals in a row? But mah merge narrative?

Did I not warn people that Arthur Hayes wants you to buy when he wants to sell? I say this all the time. These people do not have your interests at heart. If they can convince another 1000 people to buy 1 eth, they probably make another 10% profit, easily.

Don’t forget to thank him for posting this one https://entrepreneurshandbook.co/eth-flexive-7e1921123f64 — literally a day after he exited, dumping on Binance. I bet if someone looks up on cryptoquant they can see the inflows from the days prior exploding. What did he end his speech with? Buy the dip.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/Hj2jMfTp/

How about no (to merge narratives). On a more macro perspective yet, it’s basically the start of the drop. What I want to point out here is #VOLUME . As in, notice a lack of it? Yeah. This baby has not had conviction since 4/2021.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/NpQJ2ZNF/

It’s not new, either. You can see a nice big H&S here, showing how the minute the first shoulder came in, eth holders walked away entirely. Rest of y’all have been branded suckers.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/YHLUziWI/

How does this play out? Let me show you an example with CNYUSD. (Yuan vs USD, priced in USD).Great, ain’t it? I mean, great if you Forex, but not so great for China hitting a serious recession.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/4B6k9hQr/

So, what does this look like for Eth? Note: this isn’t max #bearish, this is “retrace to technical bottoms”.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/mtH0JSLh/

Wanna know why #Vitalik was pumpin the other day? Cause he can’t wait to buy at $80 again. In the meantime, Eth is goin down like China, but enough about his social life.

ref:

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Ergonap
Coinmonks

Foodie, algotrader, trader, chartist. Donations to paypal @ tradernap, Website at tradernap.com