A State Divided: Oregon and Oregon State Prepare for Annual ‘Civil War’

Less than 50 miles separate №3 Oregon and №9 Oregon State so it is only right that their rivalry is called the Civil War. The last time the two teams met, №18 Beavers lost 75–63 to №7 Oregon, the first Civil War loss for Oregon State since 2011.

When the two teams meet on Friday, Feb. 15, one of our Top 5 games, it will be a battle. Oregon ranks second in our HHS ranking and Oregon State ranks tenth. Thankfully for the fans, they meet again three days later on Monday, Feb. 18 in a game that will be shown nationally on ESPN2.

Things to look out for:

Oregon

This one is a little bit obvious: Oregon can score.

  • Oregon has scored more than 100 points in five games this season. The Ducks haven’t scored fewer than 72 points in a game this season and that was in a 72–52 win over UCLA.
  • Oregon is first in the country in Offensive Efficiency, 125 points per 100 possessions, and scoring efficiency, 1.25 points per scoring attempt (PPSA).
  • The ducks are third in the country in margin of victory per possession at 37 points per 100 possessions.

Oregon can shoot

  • The Ducks are also first in both three-point and two-point percentages at 44% and 57% respectively.

The Ducks don’t beat themselves

  • They are first in low turnover rate, turning the ball over on just 13% of their plays.
  • They are second in foul rate, fouling on just 18% of opponent possessions.

Oregon State

Oregon State can score as well

  • The Beavers are seventh in the country in margin of victory per possession at 29.3 Points Per 100 Possessions.
  • Oregon State is third in PPSA averaging 1.17 points each time they try to shoot (including when fouled).

Watch out for Oregon State on the defensive glass

  • The Beavers are fifth in the country in Def Reb Rate, they get the board on 75% of opponent misses. Limiting Oregon’s second chance opportunities will be key.

Oregon State won’t turn the ball over

  • The Beavers commit just 12.5 turnovers per game, 14th in the country.
  • Oregon State is eighth in assist to turnover rate at 1.39.

The Beavers also don’t foul

  • Oregon State is fifth in low foul rate, committing a foul on 19% of opponent possessions.

Players to look out for:

Oregon

Sabrina Ionescu (obviously)

  • She assists on 37% of her teammate’s baskets when on the floor, 20th in D1. She’s 19th in assist to turnover ratio at 3.12.
  • She also is a volume scorer, finishing 27% of plays when on the floor with a field goal attempt, free throw attempt, or turnover. That’s top 10% of D1.
  • She’s directly involved in about two-thirds of Oregon plays when on the floor, a remarkable number.
  • She’s also top 10% in efficiency averaging 1.15 PPSA.

Ruthy Hebard

  • Hebard is fourth in the country in scoring efficiency averaging an amazing 1.41 PPSA. That’s like shooting 70% on 2s only and never getting fouled. Simply amazing.
  • Hebard is in the top 5% of D1 in both Offensive and Defensive Rebound Rate.
  • She gets an offensive board on 14% of Duck misses when on the floor and a defensive rebound on 24% of opponent misses when on the floor.

Maite Cazorla

  • Cazorla is 19th in scoring efficiency averaging 1.33 PPSA (it’s like of 66% on 2s only).
  • 42% from deep is top 10% in D1, and she’s shooting 65% on 2s which is in the top 1%.

Satou Sabally

  • 38th in scoring efficiency averaging 1.29 PPS (it’s equivalent to making of 64% of 2s only).
  • She’s doing it a high volume too which is impressive, finishing 27% of plays similar to Ionescu (top 10%).
  • 46% from deep (top 2%) and 56% from 2P range (top 10%).

Oregon State

Destiny Slocum

  • 13th in the country in assist rate. She gets an assist on 39% of her teammates’ baskets when on the floor.
  • Slocum finishes 33% of plays when she’s on the floor with an FGA, FTA, or TOV.
  • That means she’s directly involved in 72% of Oregon State plays when she’s on the floor, nearly three-quarters.

Mikayla Pivec

  • She’s in the top 5% of D1 in scoring efficiency at 1.21 PPSA.
  • 27% of Pivec’s points have come at the line during conference play, 6th in the conference.

Aleah Goodman

  • She is 42nd in the country at assist to turnover rate at 2.5. That’s top 2% of D1.

With two games in four days, just sit back and enjoy the action!


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