Change with Causal Layered Analysis, 3 Horizons and the Systems Lens — and Systems Refactored

In the previous posts, I described causal layered analysis and to think of it in the change-making process, and described causal layered analysis through a systems lens, and in this post, I will described how CLA can be integrated with three horizons also using a systems lens. I show how that, through a systems lens we can refactor the layers of framing in causal layered analysis and think about how they concretely flow from one layer to another. I also pointed out how the systems lens together with CLA can give potential change agents where and how to intervene with the framework of a systems X CLA combined lens.

In this post, I am going to do some thing similar, in the sense of pulling together the concepts from the previous posts, and re-frame an existing framework.

The framework today that I will reframe is the 3-Horizons framework from Bill Sharpe (you can find a good post about it here and Kate Raworth explaining it here). It is an elegant framework, about how we want change to happen from the present. It has got 3 horizons — the dominant horizon — represent as business as usual, which will lose its usefulness in the future — H1; the third horizon — the horizon that exists albeit quietly but will emerge, or something that we want — H3. Then there is the H2 horizon — the transition activities — and there are two varieties — H2-minus which will sustain H1, and H2-plus, which can accelerate the dominance and mainstreaming of…