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Data-driven predictions of public policy outcomes and election results
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Predicting the 2024 Presidential Election
Predicting the 2024 Presidential Election
I built a model to predict the outcome of the 2024 presidential election. Here’s how I did it and what I found.
Gideon Heltzer
Aug 19, 2021
The Price of a U.S. Senate Seat
The Price of a U.S. Senate Seat
Have you ever wondered, “How much does it cost to buy an election?”
Gideon Heltzer
Sep 18, 2022
Misinformation in the Mainstream Media
Misinformation in the Mainstream Media
I’m excited to have been involved in a research project with computational social scientists at Microsoft Research and the University of…
Gideon Heltzer
Nov 20, 2023
Ranked-Choice Voting
Ranked-Choice Voting
Ranked-choice voting is gaining popularity as a voting system across the US. I wrote this post to explain how ranked-choice voting works…
Gideon Heltzer
Nov 3, 2021
Analysis of 2022 California State-Wide Ballot Propositions
Analysis of 2022 California State-Wide Ballot Propositions
I have been working with a California-based get-out-the-vote (GOTV) organization called Field Team 6. Field Team 6 has helped register…
Gideon Heltzer
Dec 31, 2022
2024 Presidential Election: Democratic Pathways to Victory
2024 Presidential Election: Democratic Pathways to Victory
In this post I outline the four most likely Democratic pathways to victory in 2024 as predicted by my forecasting model.
Gideon Heltzer
Aug 19, 2021
2024 Presidential Election: Republican Pathways to Victory
2024 Presidential Election: Republican Pathways to Victory
In this post I outline the four most likely Republican pathways to victory in 2024 as predicted by my forecasting model.
Gideon Heltzer
Aug 19, 2021
The History of Apportionment: The Process Which Determines the Number of House Seats per State
The History of Apportionment: The Process Which Determines the Number of House Seats per State
Gerrymandering is a hot topic in our current political discourse. However, gerrymandering has not always been the preferred method of…
Gideon Heltzer
Aug 24, 2022
AI for Social Good
AI for Social Good
Artificial Intelligence (AI) for social good is a field of work which, broadly speaking, uses AI to make the world a better place. I had a…
Gideon Heltzer
Sep 27, 2021
My First Political Poll
My First Political Poll
In the early days of the Biden presidency I conducted a poll to learn how my school felt about Biden’s first few months as president. You…
Gideon Heltzer
Jun 16, 2022
Norway Matters
Norway Matters
I recently decided to learn Norwegian because I have been increasingly interested in Norway as a nation. Below are some interesting facts…
Gideon Heltzer
Jun 16, 2022
What is Right and What is Not Right with France
What is Right and What is Not Right with France
This article explains how elections work in France, the major players in French politics, and potential implications of the current…
Gideon Heltzer
Apr 11, 2022
Yale Young Global Scholars (YYGS)
Yale Young Global Scholars (YYGS)
This summer I will participate in the Yale Young Global Scholars (YYGS) program. YYGS offers four areas of study: STEM, humanities, social…
Gideon Heltzer
Apr 9, 2023
Democratic Innovations at Yale
Democratic Innovations at Yale
There is a growing divide between political parties in the United States today, and, consequently, a lot of ruined friendships and…
Gideon Heltzer
Jun 14, 2023
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