[ 文獻] 港人口頭意見(1982):香港無李光耀,難以自立生存

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3 min readJul 31, 2017
1978年11月,李光耀在新加坡機場迎接鄧小平。source: http://world.huanqiu.com/photo/2015-03/2768332_2.html

1982年中,香港觀察社委託SRH做民調,報告輯錄focus group對前途口頭意見,普遍認為若能顧及中英顏面維持現狀一起賺錢最理想;對所謂獨立則抱觀望態度,一來香港無李光耀,二來怕干犯北京;至於中英共治,相信最終都是由中方掌控。

Hong Kong Observers(1982) Hong Kong and Its Future: Management Summary, p.27.

前途方案(3):獨立
資源短缺下,普遍怕得罪中國被斷水斷糧(p.28):

“It’s impossible that Hong Kong will be independent because she 1acks in natural resources… If Hong Kong is rich in natural resources, she will be qualified for her independence. However, Hong Kong depends heavily on imports from other places, for example, food stuffs and water supply from China.”(G4/F/31–40/with child/$3.000-)

無天然屏障,無軍事力量(p.28):

“Since Hong Kong is not a country it lacks military force….. and also it is’ boundary free(不設防).”(G2/M/31–40/With child/$3,000+)

地緣因素無法與新加坡比較,也無相當的領袖和政制(p.29):

“Hong Kong has an extremely bad situation when compared with Singapore in terms of leadership, natural resources, and political structure… On top of that, Hong Kong has no financial influences in the world, who is going to help us?”(G1/M/21–30/No child/$3,000-)

Hong Kong Observers(1982) Hong Kong and Its Future: Management Summary, p.28.
Hong Kong Observers(1982) Hong Kong and Its Future: Management Summary, p.29.

前途方案(4):維持現狀

對中英港都有利,尤其中國要利用香港收情報、賺外匯,進口高科技(p.30):

“If Hong Kong remains the same, it will be beneficial to both Britain and China, for example, the enormous purchase of the Kowloon Motor Buses from Britain.”(Gl/M/21–30/no child/$3,000-)

“Hong Kong is also a financial centre which can pool a large amount of deposite for China… It imports advanced technology. On top of that, China can get information of other countries through Hong Kong.”(G2/M/31–40/with child/$3,000+)

“If the status quo is maintained, then it will be beneficial to both China and Hong Kong since Hong Kong lacks natural resources. She can get water supply and food stuff from China. Meanwhile, China can trade with Hong Kong, and Hong Kong could bring a lot of foreign exchange to China through tourism.”(G4/F/31–40/With chi1d/$3,000-)

還要想法保兩國顏面(p.31):

“If China takes back Hong Kong, it means that China admits the previous unfair treaty with Britain… Somehow they have to find a way to settle Hong Kong’s future without touching on this sensitive issue.”(G2/M/31–40/With child/$3,000+)

Hong Kong Observers(1982) Hong Kong and Its Future: Management Summary, p.30.
Hong Kong Observers(1982) Hong Kong and Its Future: Management Summary, p.31.

前途方案(5):中英共治

認為機會不大,說到底多由中方掌控,無異於直接回收(p.31):

“We are now just like a Cantonese slogan ‘meat is on the chop board(肉隨砧板上)’ and we can’t do anything about it. This should be at the hands of Britain and China and they should discuss Hong Kong’s future.”(G1/M/21–30/no child/$3,000-)

總括而言,受訪者最想維持現治,最不想被直接收回。關於香港前途的最後答案,大部份男士認為越早知悉越好,因擔心外資撤走;女士則多認為投資者才關心這問題,普羅大眾即使1997年才公佈也無所謂。(p.32–33)

Hong Kong Observers(1982) Hong Kong and Its Future: Management Summary, p.32.
Hong Kong Observers(1982) Hong Kong and Its Future: Management Summary, p.33.

Source: Hong Kong Observers(1982) Hong Kong and Its Future- Management Summary.

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#世代懺悔錄 #香港前途考古 #前途談判籌碼考 #1982年 #香港觀察社 #民意調查 #新界租約 #生活方式 #SRH #SurveyResearchHongKong #民意牌 #三腳櫈

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