Eric L.Understanding Market Volatility in the Coming MonthsThe S&P 500 has demonstrated significant volatility over the past two weeks, with a 4% gain last week — its largest weekly increase since…1d ago1d ago
Eric L.Economic Outlook: Recession Signals and Potential S&P 500 DrawdownThe recent resolution of the 26-month inversion of the 10-year and 2-year U.S. Treasury yield curve — the longest in history — might be…Sep 8Sep 8
Eric L.Navigating NVIDIA: Examining Post-Earnings Volatility Amidst Continued OutperformanceThe chart below illustrates the maximum drawdowns of NVIDIA (NVDA) stock following each of its earnings announcements since 2022 (marked by…Sep 2Sep 2
Eric L.The Changing Dynamics of Portfolio Diversification: Is It Time to Rethink the 60/40 Strategy?Recent trends indicate a significant shift in the correlation between the S&P 500 and various asset classes across different time horizons…Aug 30Aug 30
Eric L.Predicting SOX Index Trends Through Global Semiconductor RevenueThe PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index (SOX Index) has historically shown a strong correlation with the annual growth rate of global…Aug 24Aug 24
Eric L.What is the Market Truly Hoping For?The U.S. stock market experienced extraordinary volatility last week, with the VIX index surging above 60, marking its highest level since…Aug 11Aug 11
Eric L.Federal Tightening Cycles and Payroll Expansion: Recession WarningThe newly released July unemployment rate increased by 0.2%, exceeding consensus expectations and marking the highest level since October…Aug 5Aug 5
Eric L.A Reliable Indicator for Identifying RecessionsThe Sahm Rule is a highly dependable tool for identifying the onset of a recession. Historical data spanning nearly 75 years demonstrates…Jul 12Jul 12
Eric L.What History Predicts for the S&P 500’s Second Half Performance?The S&P 500 has exhibited remarkable performance, with a 15% gain in the first half of this year. This marks the highest half-year return…Jul 7Jul 7
Eric L.An In-depth Analysis of the ‘Sell in May and Walk Away’ Anomaly in the U.S. Stock MarketAnnually, during the month of May, market observers often discuss the market phenomenon known as “Sell in May and Walk Away.” This anomaly…May 4May 4