Eric L.What is the Market Truly Hoping For?The U.S. stock market experienced extraordinary volatility last week, with the VIX index surging above 60, marking its highest level since…16h ago16h ago
Eric L.Federal Tightening Cycles and Payroll Expansion: Recession WarningThe newly released July unemployment rate increased by 0.2%, exceeding consensus expectations and marking the highest level since October…Aug 5Aug 5
Eric L.A Reliable Indicator for Identifying RecessionsThe Sahm Rule is a highly dependable tool for identifying the onset of a recession. Historical data spanning nearly 75 years demonstrates…Jul 12Jul 12
Eric L.What History Predicts for the S&P 500’s Second Half Performance?The S&P 500 has exhibited remarkable performance, with a 15% gain in the first half of this year. This marks the highest half-year return…Jul 7Jul 7
Eric L.An In-depth Analysis of the ‘Sell in May and Walk Away’ Anomaly in the U.S. Stock MarketAnnually, during the month of May, market observers often discuss the market phenomenon known as “Sell in May and Walk Away.” This anomaly…May 4May 4
Eric L.Assessing the Likelihood of a Fed Interest Rate Hike in the Current Economic ClimatePhoto by Etienne Martin on UnsplashApr 28Apr 28
Eric L.Analyzing the Implications of the S&P 500 Breaking a Long-Standing Streak Above Its Average LineThe S&P 500 has been on an upward trajectory since November of the previous year, consistently maintaining levels above its 50-Day Moving…Apr 21Apr 21
Eric L.Decoding the Golden Cross in Crude Oil MarketsAgainst a backdrop of geopolitical tensions and tight supply conditions, the price of crude oil has been on an upward trajectory since late…Apr 13Apr 13
Eric L.Equity Market Trend and Its Implications for Federal Reserve Decision-MakingPhoto by Etienne Martin on UnsplashApr 7Apr 7
Eric L.U.S. Stock Market’s Resilience Amid Changing Liquidity ConditionsThe overall liquidity conditions fostered by the Federal Reserve can be characterized by its total assets minus the reverse repo agreements…Mar 24Mar 24