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What are the chances that the Brexit talks break down?

In the last few weeks, leading Conservative Brexiters have been talking up the possibility of walking away with no deal. Theresa May herself said that “no deal is better than a bad deal.” This is not true, and it is good that Theresa…

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Are the scenarios in Juncker’s White Paper on the future of the EU realistic?

On Wednesday, the European Commission presented its ‘White Paper on the future of Europe’, ahead of the Treaty of Rome’s 60th anniversary celebrations on March 25th. The paper is surprisingly short…

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Does the Italian Constitutional Court ruling improve the Five Star Movement’s chances?

On Wednesday, Italy’s constitutional court ruled on the country’s electoral law for the Chamber of Deputies, Italy’s lower house. The ruling paves the way for early elections…

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Where will Donald Trump take the world?

Donald Trump has been sworn in as 45th President of the United States, and delivered a short but savage inaugural address. If he means what he says, he is going to do enormous damage both to the US and to the rest of the world.

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Will the new president of the European Parliament make any difference to the Brexit talks?

The European Parliament (EP) yesterday elected Antonio Tajani, an Italian MEP from the centre-right European People’s Party (EPP), as its new president. A British journalist…

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What does Theresa May’s speech tell us about how Britain will leave the EU?

Until now, Theresa May’s government has avoided being open about the trade-offs that Brexit entails: the more that Britain restores sovereignty, the greater the economic costs. In her Lancaster House…

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Has the ECB started to tighten the screws?

Given the continued weakness of inflation, the ECB was always going to extend its bond purchasing programme (‘quantitative easing’ or QE) beyond its previously scheduled end in March 2017. The question was how, exactly, the ECB would extend it. The…

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Will Italy have to go to snap elections?

Matteo Renzi’s resignation yesterday after the referendum defeat does not automatically trigger new elections. Instead, the Italian president Sergio Mattarella will start consultations with party leaders to explore options to form a new government, based on…

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Will a No vote in the Italian referendum spark a banking crisis in Italy?

After the Brexit vote and Donald Trump’s victory, many worry that Italy’s constitutional referendum on December 4th could be populism’s next victory. The Italian ‘spread’ over German interest rates — a…

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Autumn Statement 2016: How will Brexit affect the budget?

‘Brexit’ will be added to the Collins dictionary this year, and one Twitter wag suggested that the dictionary should tweak Theresa May by making the following entry: ‘Brexit (n): Brexit’. Just as May is keeping her powder dry, so…

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#AskCER
#AskCER
On this blog, CER researchers answer the most pressing questions on Europe in less than 500 words. If you want to ask a question, send us an email, a Facebook message or use the #AskCER hashtag on Twitter, and we will try to answer it.
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