Hivemind prediction markets case study: The Winton Climate Prediction Market

At the beginning of this year students and academics at British universities were invited by Winton to participate in a prediction market for seasonal climate forecasting. The prediction market was…

Hivemind Quick Start

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When will prediction markets grow up?

Prediction markets are 30 years old this year: The Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM) opened in 1988. Since then prediction markets have been promoted with almost evangelical fervour as the answer to information aggregation and decision making problems. The American…

A beginner’s guide to trading prediction markets on Hivemind Agora

Defining prediction market contracts

A lack of thought in the definition of prediction market contracts can cause problems when the…

Hivemind Release — Handlebars, Agreement Checking, Tesseract, Editing & more

Hivemind Release — Scheduling and account monitoring