Scenario

After Scenarios — Strategies, Signposts, and Artefacts

So far, much of the discussion has been about the construction of the scenarios, and the various ways people figure out how to create them. We talk about the need to have compelling scenarios so that management might get a “ah-ha”…

Scenarios

Scenarios can be done in a variety of different ways. I’ll just describe two philosophical approaches. The first set is the ”bottom-up” approach — and by that I mean in the broadest sense, the technique of using trends to build up to the world.

Scenarios as Systems

The systems lens can also be applied to scenarios. Given that scenarios are often constructed from different trends…

3 Scenarios for China

I’ve been writing on China, trying to get at a frame for thinking. The perspective that I’ve been using is to link their domestic circumstances to their strategy. This might be a sensible thing to do, but a lot of foreign policy writing doesn’t link to the two, often postulating…

Looking back, how will future generations see us?

China’s Continued Growth? — Scenarios

As a good foresight practitioner, we have to entertain even more drastic scenarios, to do…

Scenarios: 100+ Outlines to Provoke Thinking

How would you have to navigate the changing world? Wouldn’t you wish that there…

Bonus Scenario: SG Media

A bunch of changes happened with SPH — the conglomerate that used to manage the main news outlets in Singapore.

Global Trends X Singapore — some thoughts about the implications of Global Trends 2040 for Singapore