Data Science

June 2021 CoupCast Update

Mali, Chad and Gambia face the highest estimated risk of coup this month. On May 24, Mali experienced its second…

May 2021 Election Violence Risk Briefing

Syria, the only country within our forecast data with an election this month, is at high…

May 2021 CoupCast Update

Chad, Myanmar and Sudan face the highest risk of coup this month. Chad experienced a bloodless coup in April…

April 2021 Election Violence Risk Briefing

Of the seven elections scheduled for this month, Chad and Benin have the highest…

March 2021 CoupCast Update

Myanmar, Zimbabwe and Cape Verde face the highest risk of coup this month. In Myanmar, violent repression…

February 2021 Election Violence Risk Briefing

Of the four elections scheduled for this month, Somalia’s has the highest risk…

June 2020 Election Violence Risk Briefing

Mongolia and Poland, the only two countries with national elections this month, have…

Topic modeling as OSINT: Exploring Russian presidential speech topics over time

We demonstrate how…

May 2020 Election Violence Risk Briefing

Burundi and Suriname are scheduled to hold national elections late this month, while…

May 2020 CoupCast Update

Burundi, Sudan and the Algeria have the highest risk of coup attempt this month. Meanwhile, a number of…