The Intelligent Sports Wagerer

Let’s see what the data have to say.

John V. Culver in The Intelligent Sports Wagerer.

Sep 13

The ISW’s NFL ’24 Elo Ratings: Week 2

Let’s see what the data have to say

John V. Culver in The Intelligent Sports Wagerer.

Sep 8

The ISW’s NFL ’24 Week 1 Elo Ratings

Something can be said to have intrinsic value if its worth is derived solely in and of itself…

John V. Culver in The Intelligent Sports Wagerer.

Sep 7

The ISW’s Annual NFL Betting Review: third consecutive year of positive aggregate total returns

John V. Culver in The Intelligent Sports Wagerer.

Feb 11

Super Bowl LVIII: Odds & Betting Special (2/2)

Let’s see what the data have to say

John V. Culver in The Intelligent Sports Wagerer.

Feb 7

Betting Insights from 57 Years of Super Bowl Data (1 of 2)

A statistical analysis of the annals of…

John V. Culver in The Intelligent Sports Wagerer.

Jan 27

NFL Conference Championship Simulation Results & Betting Special: And Then There Were Four

John V. Culver in The Intelligent Sports Wagerer.

Jan 19

Knowledge vs. Information

At The ISW, we believe that value investing principles offer us the best roadmap to navigating the wagering…

John V. Culver in The Intelligent Sports Wagerer.

Jan 13

NFL Super Wild Card Betting Special

Each year, during the NFL postseason, I try to provide readers with more useful and analytic data…

John V. Culver in The Intelligent Sports Wagerer.

Jan 5

NFL’s Wonky Week 18 Monte Carlo Simulated Scores & Betting Data

John V. Culver in The Intelligent Sports Wagerer.

Dec 30, 2023

NFL ’23 Week 17 Monte Carlo Simulated Scores & Cover Probabilities

About

The Intelligent Sports Wagerer.

We believe that value investing principles offer us the best roadmap to navigating the wagering market. A security and a wager each have intrinsic value that can be estimated — when price deviates favorably, we buy. Like investing, successful sports betting is a long-term game.

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