Updated health care projections

I am lowering from 60% to 50% my projection for the success of comprehensive health care reform.

1. Pass a partisan comprehensive bill through the House and through the regular Senate process with 60, leading to a law; (was 40% -> 30%)

Financial sector compensation

As the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission cranks up and begins to look at substantive issues, you can expect me to begin commenting more frequently on financial policy issues. I expect that my thinking will evolve as I learn more over fourteen months in the Commission’s…

The legislative landscape for health care after House passage

The House passed their version of health care reform Saturday night on a 220–215 vote. Today I’m going to update my projections and analysis, and focus on upcoming “pivot points” in the health care debate.