The Great Baby Bust of 2017

Fertility Is Falling Faster than You Realize

What It Would Take to Keep America White

A Lot More Than You Might Think, But Also Not So Much

A tweet thread made the rounds over the weekend discussing how to keep America (non-Hispanic) white. It was shared by the alt right crowd in…

What Are the Consequences of Low Fertility?

I had a twitter exchange last week with Noah Smith and Adam Ozimek about fertility. Basically, Noah suggested that US fertility was only a little bit below replacement, likely to rise, and that, anyways, being a bit below replacement rate fertility…

Would Immigrants Look Different Under a Points System?

Simulating a Major Change in Policy

Recently, there have been rumblings again about a shift to a points-based immigration system similar to what Canada or Australia use. I’ve discussed…

What Will Census’ State Population Estimates Say?

The Data Exists to Take a Guess

Did the Northern Mariana Islands Experience a Baby Boom?

How Fertility Statistics Can Mislead

What Happened to Migration in 2015–16?

IRS Statistics of Income AND Current Population Survey Edition

I’ve been so caught up in two major topics, fertility and Puerto Rico, that I sort of dropped the ball on my core trade-stock here…