About 100 hours before the U.S. midterms election in November, an anonymous Augur trader spun up a throwaway Reddit account to comment on how he was almost single-handedly responsible (at the time) for the trading volume in the midterms…
In markets that shut down and shut out or in markets that never sleep, open to anyone, anywhere, anytime?
Where does value want to live?
Where it is corruptible or where it is immutable?
Today, I’ll build on some thoughts I recently wrote about prediction arbitrage.
In prediction arb, you take both sides of a trade i.e., bet on opposite outcomes, in separate prediction markets. By taking advantage of pricing…
As Augur and other prediction markets take off, we may see some big arbitrage opportunities.
What is Arbitrage?
Amid all the short-termism in the crypto space (especially during bearish times), it’s nice to keep the big picture in mind. Here are some of my favorite quotes on the long-term potential of crypto…
There are 3 eras of currency: Commodity…
Someday, Augur may be the world’s largest, most efficient market, but that day is a long ways off. We’re still in the crack-of-dawn early days and it’s the Wild West. There’s a great deal of inefficiency, meaning a great deal of…
Wanted to share some early, developing thoughts on how to play Augur’s prediction markets. To get some context, if you haven’t yet, check out my recent post The Radical Potential Of Augur. Augur launched just…
