Sunrise Over the Merkle Trees

Opportunity On Augur: 7 Examples Of Market Inefficiency

Someday, Augur may be the world’s largest, most efficient market, but that day is a long ways off. We’re still in the crack-of-dawn early days and it’s the Wild West. There’s a great deal of inefficiency, meaning a great deal of…

Challenging Mainstream Views On Crypto Assets

Today I received a newsletter from a mainstream investment expert I have a lot of respect for. When it comes to things like sovereign bonds and inflation, I think his commentary is spot on.

The Big Crypto Short, Part I:

Betting Against the Tower Records & Blockbusters of the Pre-Blockchain…

The Perks of Not Existing: A Couple Quick Thoughts On Imaginary Coins

For some of Ethereum’s fledgling rivals, their greatest liability is their greatest asset in the markets: they do not exist (yet).¹

Shorting A Crypto-less Future

Just as we seek to buy things that will gain value with the rise of crypto we can bet against things that will lose value. This may actually be a better strategy in the long run, since it’s probably easier to predict where value will leave than where it will arrive.

Non-Fungibles: The Next Crypto Gold Rush?

I think 2018 will be the year of non-fungible tokens. In the same way that ICOs were Ethereum’s ‘killer app’ in 2017, digital collectibles could be the killer app of ‘18.

Meet Poyo: An Interview with Augur’s Most Controversial Cat

Prediction Arbitrage

Opportunities Between Augur & Other Markets

As Augur and other prediction markets take off, we may see some big arbitrage opportunities.

What is Arbitrage?