The die is forecast

Computational Social Science and Political Event Analysis

Matt Scott Frank in The die is forecast

Jun 8, 2021

June 2021 CoupCast Update

Mali, Chad and Gambia face the highest estimated risk of coup this month. On May 24, Mali experienced its second…

Matt Scott Frank in The die is forecast

May 13, 2021

May 2021 Election Violence Risk Briefing

Syria, the only country within our forecast data with an election this month, is at high…

Matt Scott Frank in The die is forecast

May 12, 2021

May 2021 CoupCast Update

Chad, Myanmar and Sudan face the highest risk of coup this month. Chad experienced a bloodless coup in April…

Matt Scott Frank in The die is forecast

May 10, 2021

International Elections and Leaders: May 2021 Briefing

Matt Scott Frank in The die is forecast

Apr 12, 2021

April 2021 Election Violence Risk Briefing

Of the seven elections scheduled for this month, Chad and Benin have the highest…

Matt Scott Frank in The die is forecast

Apr 9, 2021

April 2021 CoupCast Update

Djibouti, Chad and Niger face the highest risk of coup this month. Niger experienced a failed coup attempt on…

Clayton Besaw in The die is forecast

Apr 7, 2021

International Elections and Leaders: April 2021 Briefing

Matt Scott Frank in The die is forecast

Mar 3, 2021

March 2021 CoupCast Update

Myanmar, Zimbabwe and Cape Verde face the highest risk of coup this month. In Myanmar, violent repression…

Clayton Besaw in The die is forecast

Mar 2, 2021

International Elections and Leaders: March 2021 Briefing

Matt Scott Frank in The die is forecast

Feb 8, 2021

February 2021 Election Violence Risk Briefing

Of the four elections scheduled for this month, Somalia’s has the highest risk…

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The die is forecast

Technical blog for our forecasting projects related to coup risk, electoral violence and political leadership change.

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