Source: National Weather Service Eastern Region Headquarters

Updated Snowfall Totals in the Eastern U.S. and Arctic Air Invasion Outlook

Todd B. Bates/NH EnviroGuy
5 min readJan 30, 2023

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When it comes to Eastern U.S. snowfall, this winter has featured some overachievers and many underachievers.

Buffalo, New York, has received nearly double its average snowfall (through late yesterday afternoon), Caribou in northern Maine has seen above-average snowfall and Concord, New Hampshire, has had average snowfall, according to the National Weather Service’s Eastern Region Headquarters.

But Boston, Massachusetts, has received only about one third of its average snowfall, and my hometown — Rochester, New York — has seen less than a third of its average.

“While recent storms have brought parts of northern New England closer to normal, seasonal snowfall totals for most of the Eastern US continue to run well below normal,” the Eastern Region office tweeted yesterday.

Snow Shortage Persists in Much of the East

With only a trace of snow so far this season, Central Park in New York City broke its previous record for the latest date of measurable snowfall on record (since 1869), according to the weather service office that covers the city. The previous record was set on Jan. 29, 1973, when 1.8 inches of snow was recorded there. “The record will continue to be broken every day until measurable snow is observed.”

Several factors have led to the mainly mild pattern so far this winter, according to the weather service office in Mount Holly, New Jersey. They include mild Pacific air, a lack of Arctic air intrusion southward most of this winter and few coastal storms in the East.

Climate and Weather Highlights in 2022 in New England and the Northeast

January temperatures have averaged well above normal, the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center says. “And with warm temperatures comes a lack of snow.”

Source: Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center via NOAA Regional Climate Centers

However, extremely cold weather is expected later this week and weekend.

The late week cold snap will bring the coldest air of the season and possibly since 2016. Temperatures are expected to fall well below zero by Friday night along with dangerously cold wind chills, says the weather service office that covers New Hampshire and western Maine.

Much below normal temperatures will “shift into the Northeast by late week, with the possibility of highs below zero in northern New England by Saturday, and bitterly cold lows potentially setting daily records,” a Weather Prediction Center forecast discussion says.

This graphic (using the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) weather forecast model consisting of 21 separate forecasts) shows the Arctic airmass “signal” for Friday night. The tannish color indicates that the forecasted airmass aloft occurs on only one day every 10 years for this time of year. “Serious Cold!!” Source: National Weather Service Gray/Portland ME office and NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information
Low temperature forecast for Sat. Feb. 4, 2023. Source: Weather Prediction Center at the National Weather Service
High temperature forecast for Sat. Feb. 4, 2023. Source: Weather Prediction Center at the National Weather Service

More images, including 10 of my photos in New Hampshire this winter:

Source: National Weather Service Philadelphia/Mount Holly office
The lack of snow so far this season along the I-95 metro corridor of the mid-Atlantic into the Northeast has been extremely unusual. Source: National Weather Service Eastern Region Headquarters
Source: National Weather Service New York NY office
“We keep climbing up the Top 5 list for most consecutive days without snow in Philly. It will be 324 days after today. However, we do have a shot at some snow Tues night/Wed morning. Could that streak be broken then? All we need is 0.1" snow. Stay tuned!” Source: National Weather Service Philadelphia/Mount Holly Office
Snow depth as of 6 a.m. (ET) on Jan. 30, 2023. Source: National Weather Service
National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center
With Arctic air invading the region Friday and Saturday, it’s a good time to prepare. Here are some extreme cold safety tips, and have your vehicle battery checked. Source: National Weather Service Boston/Norton office
“Confidence is increasing for dangerous cold across the area on Friday night/Saturday morning.” Source: National Weather Service Gray/Portland ME office
Newfound Lake on Jan. 26, 2023. Photo by Todd B. Bates/NH EnviroGuy blogger
Snowy Hebron on Jan. 28, 2023. Photo by Todd B. Bates/NH EnviroGuy blogger
Snowy Hebron on Jan. 28, 2023. Photo by Todd B. Bates/NH EnviroGuy blogger
The Cockermouth River in Hebron on Jan. 28, 2023. Photo by Todd B. Bates/NH EnviroGuy blogger
The Cockermouth River in Hebron on Jan. 28, 2023. Photo by Todd B. Bates/NH EnviroGuy blogger
Homes and trees in Hebron on Jan. 28, 2023. Photo by Todd B. Bates/NH EnviroGuy blogger
Sunrise at Newfound Lake on Dec. 31, 2022. Photo by Todd B. Bates/NH EnviroGuy blogger
Snowmobile trail near Bear Mountain and Newfound Lake on Jan. 29, 2023. Photo by Todd B. Bates/NH EnviroGuy blogger
Big Sugarloaf mountain along Newfound Lake on Jan. 29, 2023. Photo by Todd B. Bates/NH EnviroGuy blogger
View of Mount Cardigan and other mountains from Ragged Mountain on Jan. 25, 2023. Photo by Todd B. Bates/NH EnviroGuy blogger

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Photos: Autumn Colors and Water Scenery in New Hampshire
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Todd B. Bates/NH EnviroGuy

NH EnviroGuy blogger & photography enthusiast living near Newfound Lake in New Hampshire. Finalist, 2010 Pulitzer Prize in Public Service. Snowy ROC NY native.